Workpackage 3 Decadal predictability for managing an uncertain future

Decadal climate prediction aims to predicts the atmosphere and ocean several years in advance. Within the A4 project we bring this science to Ireland.

Our aim is to predict Irelands future on land as well as its surrounding seas. A unique opportunity therein is the capability of modern decadal prediction systems to have prediction skill in the North Atlantic. We will work on a better understanding of these mechanisms, and how they can be exploited to create prediction skill in and around Ireland.

Beside the physical understanding we will develop innovative statistical techniques to help us on this way. Finally, we want to make use of these predictions and apply them to practical use cases. Understanding the uncertainties of predictions and communicating them in the right way for communities and businesses is a tough challenge, which we will approach with new ideas.